Posts Tagged ‘Астероидно-кометная опасность’
UPDATE: with my recent observations at ISON-NM and measurements by Peter Lake at ITelescope Net (H06) I updated my calculation with 10000 virtual objects, instead 1000. Result – impact probability (2032 Aug. 26) is 0.03% It’s consistent with SENRY JPL. This asteroid will be observable by small telescopes till New Year and of course we will improve our calculation of impact probability. I bet what it will be 0.0%!
A new round of hysteria – recently discovered asteroid 2013 TV135. First – orbit of this object still very poor. You can see distibution of 1000 virtual particles in ecliptic plane for epoch 2032 08 26. How we can seriously talk about impact?? My calculation with two different integrators, showed that we don’t have any objects with approach, closer than 0.0077 AU or 1 150 000 km!